NZ vs India 3rd ODI Preview: Can the Hosts Hit Back at Seddon Park?

India arrive in Hamilton with momentum and the numbers on their side. They have won both of the most recent meetings with New Zealand, and the 3rd ODI at Seddon Park on Tuesday, 10 November 2026 could test the hosts’ response. Here is what the CricStats data suggests.

Third ODI Preview: The Hosts Need a Response

New Zealand have lost their last two ODIs, both against India, on 4 and 7 November. Both results went through the DLS method, with India winning by 5 wickets and then by 4 runs.

That second result was tight, and it shows how little separates these sides at the moment. The question is whether New Zealand can turn those close margins into a win in Hamilton.

Head-to-Head: India Hold the Historical Edge

Across 125 ODIs since their first meeting in 1975, India lead the all-time record. They have 65 wins to New Zealand’s 52, with 8 matches tied, drawn or ending in no result.

The two sides have met 8 times at this venue.

Latest Meetings (Newest First)

The results swing both ways, so New Zealand have shown they can beat this opponent. Still, India have won the two most recent games.

Recent Form: Level on Paper

Both teams have won 5 and lost 5 of their last 10 completed ODIs against any opponent. That makes form a stalemate, even though the head-to-head trend leans one way.

New Zealand’s last five include a 2-wicket loss to West Indies on 22 July and wins on 20 July and 17 July. India’s last five include a 5-wicket loss to West Indies on 3 October and two 8-wicket wins before that.

Seddon Park: Chasing Sides Have Had the Edge

Seddon Park has hosted 43 completed ODIs. Sides chasing have won 23 of them, compared with 17 for sides batting first. The average first-innings total here is 237.

The toss could matter, and the data hints that a target around 237 has often been chased down here.

Players Who Have Been in Form

Squads for this match are not confirmed. These are players who have performed well over the last 12 months, not certain starters.

New Zealand

India

Standouts in This Fixture Since 2021

Daryl Mitchell leads all run-scorers in this fixture since 2021 with 824 runs in 13 innings. Shubman Gill (779 runs in 15 innings) and Virat Kohli (600 runs in 12 innings) follow. With the ball, Mohammed Shami has 17 wickets, Kuldeep Yadav 16 and Kyle Jamieson 12.

CricStats Data Prediction

In the last 10 decisive meetings, India have won 80% and New Zealand 20%. Recent win rates are level at 50% each. Weighing those numbers, the CricStats data lean gives India a slight edge, at 65% to New Zealand’s 35%.

This is what the numbers suggest, not a certainty. A chasing-friendly ground and tight recent finishes mean New Zealand are far from out of it. Hamilton could easily deliver another close contest.